Breakevens Round 7

Round 6 was great for many and not so much for others. If you had Stanton and avoided the injuries you were laughing. If not, like me, you will be hoping this week is better.

 

Kyal Horsley (B/E: -144, Avg: 112, Price: $119,800, Expected change: $103,700)

Horse looks like a must have and will surely be traded in to most teams this week. He’s performed extremely well in his first two games and should at worst get a few big price rises. With Bock going down to a long term injury on the weekend, his rookie spot on Gold Coast’s list should be assured until he can be permanently upgraded on their list mid-season.

 

Taylor Adams (B/E: -79, Avg: 81, Price: $125,700, Expected change: $64,600)

Adams will be the other rookie that most people have in their sights. He’s produced two very solid scores of 71 and 91 and will be a great first year player if he can keep that up. If you’re planning on trading him in, be wary that he plays for GWS. They have been resting and vesting their young players all year so be prepared for him to have sub affected scores in the near future.

 

Dylan Shiel (B/E: 10, Avg: 66, Price: $259,100, Expected change: $22,600)
With two promising rookies on the bubble, you’re going to have to trade someone out. Shiel and Magner will be the most likely candidates for this. It might come down to your bye structure but if you have to choose one of these rookies to keep I would recommend Shiel. He has a lower breakeven than Magner and should make a bit more cash before you trade him out in a few weeks.

James Magner (B/E: 20, Avg: 78.83, Price: $260,100, Expected change: $23,900)

As noted above, if you have trade someone out this week, I suggest Magner. He still has a lot of cash to make if you can hold on to him but probably won’t make as Much as Shiel. His round 12 bye might be preferable though.

Dayne Beams (B/E: 61, Avg: 102, Price: $482,900, Expected change: $16,700)

After a slow start to the year, Beams has produced two great scores over the past couple of weeks. He looks set for a big season from here and should be a popular choice this week.


Matthew Boyd (B/E: 140, Avg: 113.33, Price: $528,500, Expected change: -$10,700)

Boyd is one of a few premium midfielders who will have bottomed out in the next 1-2 weeks. Boyd’s BE should see him fall to an affordable price of just over $500k after round 7.

 

Marc Murphy (B/E: 147, Avg: 115.83, Price: $542,400, Expected change: -$12,500)
The always consistent Murphy had a quieter game last round without Judd. He should follow a similar price drop to Boyd to give you a tough choice in two weeks.

 

Sam Mitchell (B/E: 152, Avg: 107.17, Price: $494,500, Expected change: -$17,800)
Mitchell is the third of the top-tier players who will be bottoming out. Wait another week if you’re interested in him.