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About LinkBacks- 3rd June 2012 08:19 PM #1world traveller, beater.
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Array Rep Power: 29 Reputation: 5340 2012 US Election
Might be a bit early but meh we will need one eventually so may as well start one now.
All discussion/meme's/gifs/romney gaffes ITT.
Campaigns should officially kick off pretty soon building up to the November 6th election.
Some important dates are:
August 30th - 2012 Republican National Convention, Tampa Florida.
September 6th - 2012 Democratic National Convention, Charlotte North Carolina.
October 3rd - First Presidential debate
October 16th - Second Presidential debate
October 22nd - Final presidential debate.
As per usual 270 of the electoral college votes (538 total) are needed to be won to gain office.
Early polling/analysis is as follows (also represented in picture below):
Obama - 270 (includes 241 strong, 29 lean)
Romney - 181 (includes 170 strong, 11 lean)
Tossup - 87
Picture below shows early polling/analysis of the largest 16 states by electoral votes. Three big traditional 'tossup' states in there being Florida, Ohio and North Carolina. All three states had a run of consecutive elections voting Republican but were swung back to the Democrats in 2008 by Obama. Will be interesting keeping an eye on those three states.
Jobes early prediction -
Obama should retain office barring any catastrophic policy gaffes on the campaign trail. Has a solid base of around 240 strong democrat electoral votes and I predict him to win 2 of the 3 major tossup states, North Carolina being one of them.
I was interested in his decision to come out in the support of gay marriage in an election year but I guess his campaign team figured that anyone terribly offended by it was probably never going to vote for him anyway.
Also I fully expect his experience and lets face it, his pure awesomeness, to get him a couple of convincing wins in the debates.
4 more years of this guy pls.
Over to you guys.
- 3rd June 2012 08:19 PM # ADSPlease register to remove these annoying advertisements!
3rd June 2012 08:22 PM #2Like a Boas
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Array Rep Power: 50 Reputation: 7722 O-BAM-A!
O-BAM-A!
O-BAM-A!
O-BAM-A!
Originally Posted by r dub 
4th June 2012 06:30 PM #3Ya bish 
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Array Rep Power: 45 Reputation: 6547 watched that Obama doco last night, the one about the Presidents photographer. Gives a good insight into the Presidents life and the White House. Hope he destroys that Mormon cunt
.gif "(y)")
said this was his fave photo. what a lad
Originally Posted by CumDusty Originally Posted by CumDusty
4th June 2012 11:03 PM #4Vaya Con Dios! 
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Array Rep Power: 35 Reputation: 4975 Referee - "That's a foul Mr President."
Obama (to Aide) - "Have him sent to Guantanamo Bay."
Referee - "Uhh.....I meant a foul on the other guy sir. For getting in your way, sir."
Obama - "Alright then. Two shots."Jimmies Status
[ ] - Rustled
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4th June 2012 11:22 PM #5TIA official photographer 
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Array Rep Power: 87 Reputation: 14992 Originally Posted by CumDusty Rules:
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5th June 2012 09:09 PM #6world traveller, beater.
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5th June 2012 09:37 PM #7TIA official photographer
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he just looks like a bad guy movie president Originally Posted by CumDusty Rules:
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5th June 2012 09:50 PM #8Ya bish
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Array Rep Power: 45 Reputation: 6547 ohh lawd what a douche. i remember the 10k bet
did lol at 374k not being much money. Originally Posted by CumDusty Originally Posted by CumDusty
5th June 2012 10:05 PM #9This Is AFL | AFL Forum 
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Array Rep Power: 59 Reputation: 9995 Believe Kall posted this a while back but Originally Posted by flight23
he just looks like a bad guy movie president
Also cant help but laugh at that breakdown of who is voting where. New England and East Coast, and West Coast, + Illinois + Michigan, supporting democrats, almost all the middle and south behind the republicans. Nutcases flanked by progressives.
Should be an interesting campaign, crazy electoral system though.
5th June 2012 10:29 PM #10world traveller, beater.
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Array Rep Power: 29 Reputation: 5340 Not to mention the fact less than 50% of the population votes. Originally Posted by Red Bear
6th June 2012 01:37 AM #11Smart went crazy 
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Can't see anything other than Obama getting a second term really. There'd have to be a huge national swing in favour of Romney for the GOP to win.
Romney's best chance would be through the big 3 of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida and even that doesn't assure him a win, because it assumes Obama loses Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Missouri AND Arizona. If Romney loses 1 of 'the big 3,' it'll be very tough, if he loses 2, it's pretty much over.#YOTS
20th June 2012 09:20 AM #12TIA official photographer
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Array Rep Power: 87 Reputation: 14992 Yeah I'm not even sure if a scandal could stop him at this point
Out of curiosity, anyone for the figure on - one party in the white house for the longest ? Originally Posted by CumDusty Rules:
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20th June 2012 09:46 AM #13Now you have my attention 
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Array Rep Power: 40 Reputation: 6585 The Democrats held the White House for 20 years from 1933 under FDR and Truman I know that much. Couldn't do that so easily nowadays with two term limits on presidents. Originally Posted by flight23 Originally Posted by AFL News
30th June 2012 02:16 AM #14ಠ_ಠ 
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Array Rep Power: 55 Reputation: 8510 not entirely related but
People Who Say They're Moving To Canada Because Of ObamaCare
lel dont understand how people consider healthcare to be socialistr8 4 reps Originally Posted by The Greatest-ever commander, Marshal Kim Jong Un
30th June 2012 04:01 AM #15Now you have my attention
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Array Rep Power: 40 Reputation: 6585 Not to mention the fact that they mostly have FREE healthcare in Canada (socialist pigs Originally Posted by KaLL 
) Originally Posted by AFL News
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